Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
FC Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOT
30%
25%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
HNP
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
RES
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOT
30%
25%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
JAG
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 3
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
RES
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |