FC Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 2
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
0 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
VID
1 - 2
MOT
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 1
MOT
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 4
JAG
7%
15%
78%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 1
VID
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
JAG
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
JAG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 1
MAR
32%
28%
39%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |