FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
RES
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
VID
1 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 1
RSO
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |