FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MOT
0 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 2
MOT
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 1
MOT
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
6 - 1
RDM
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 3
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RDM
0 - 2
HNP
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 3
HNP
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |