FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 1
MOT
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
MOT
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 2
HNP
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HNP
2 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
VID
0 - 1
HNP
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
HNP
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
3 - 1
RES
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |