FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
MOT
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
AME
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 2
JUT
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 0
JUT
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
4 - 2
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
HNP
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |