FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOT
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOT
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 4
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HNP
0 - 0
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 4
HNP
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
HNP
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |