CONCACAF League Final
Global 2-3
FC Motagua vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CSH
2 - 0
MOT
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 3
MOT
19%
29%
52%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
VID
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADC
0 - 0
CSH
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CSH
2 - 0
MOT
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CSH
0 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
CSC
3 - 2
CSH
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
CSH
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |