FC Motagua vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CDG
1 - 1
MOT
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
3 - 0
RSO
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
CIN
4 - 1
PHU
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
1 - 1
HOD
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
1 - 0
MON
47%
23%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
NYC
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NYC
3 - 1
CIN
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |