FC Motagua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
MOT
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
5 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
AME
4 - 0
MOT
64%
21%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 0
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 0
DIR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
WAL
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |