CONCACAF League Final
Global 3-6
FC Motagua vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
MOT
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 1
JAG
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOT
30%
25%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
COM
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
IZT
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
COM
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |