FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
20
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 3
MOT
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
CDG
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 2
ALI
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
RES
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIC
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 3
RSO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
VIC
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
JUT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |