FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
2º
20
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 2
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOT
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
CDG
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RSO
3 - 2
VIC
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 19 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
VID
3 - 2
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |