Apertura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-1
FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 0
MOT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
RSO
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
4 - 0
MOT
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 3
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 0
MOT
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VID
0 - 1
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 5
VIC
27%
25%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |