FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
AME
4 - 0
MOT
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
OLI
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 1
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |