FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
AES
0 - 1
MOT
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 2
MOT
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 1
MOT
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 3
HNP
58%
21%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
VID
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 4
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
6 - 0
VIC
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
4 - 4
RES
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |