FC Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
2º
21
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MOT
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 1
VID
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RSO
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |