FC Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
2º
21
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MOT
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 1
VID
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RSO
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |