FC Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOT
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
RDM
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
RES
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 1
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
RSO
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 3
PLA
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |