FC Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 3
MOT
16%
25%
60%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
4 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 0
JAG
76%
16%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 3
JAG
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
0 - 0
RDM
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 4
RDM
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |