FC Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VID
0 - 3
MOT
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 2
RES
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 4
MOT
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 1
HNP
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
RES
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 1
RSO
9%
17%
75%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 0
VID
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |