FC Motagua vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
MOT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 5
MOT
11%
22%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 1
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 2
RDM
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 3
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
0 - 3
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |