FC Motagua vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
MOT
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
12%
24%
64%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
4 - 0
JUT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 1
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 0
PLA
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
RDM
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RDM
1 - 3
OLI
14%
26%
60%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 0
VID
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |