Apertura Playoffs Playoff Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
FC Motagua vs CD Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 4
MOT
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
5 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 1
JAG
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 4
MOT
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
5 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 0
VID
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 3
PLA
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |