FC Motagua vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
6º
2º
12
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 33 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 29 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 29 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 26 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 23 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 18 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 17 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 16 |
10º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
31.5% | 66.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
56.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CDG
1 - 1
MOT
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
3 - 0
RSO
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 1
IMI
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
RSO
1 - 4
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
RES
1 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
OLI
3 - 0
JUT
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |