Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
FC Motagua vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 2
JUT
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 2
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
PLA
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
OLI
21%
21%
58%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 0
JAG
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 2
OLI
18%
23%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -3 |