Clausura Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
FC Motagua vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 0
MOT
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
PLA
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
OLI
5 - 0
RES
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
35%
25%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 0
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |