FC Motagua vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VID
0 - 2
MOT
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUT
4 - 2
MOT
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 0
MOT
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
RES
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
RSO
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 3
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JUT
1 - 3
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
RES
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |