FC Motagua vs LA Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 4
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 2
RES
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
64%
22%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 1
RAY
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
LA Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
RBN
2 - 0
GAL
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
RSL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
COC
0 - 1
GAL
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |