FC Motagua vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
JAG
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VID
0 - 3
MOT
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
7 - 0
RSO
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALI
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
HNP
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
VID
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |