CD Móstoles vs UD Sanse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
68%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
18º
17º
25
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CPC
3 - 0
CDM
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
CDM
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
CDM
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
CDT
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
MAJ
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SSR
1 - 2
GET
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
SSR
14%
19%
68%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 0
SSR
14%
22%
65%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SSR
2 - 1
AVI
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SSR
0 - 0
ATB
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |