Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 5-3
CD Móstoles vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CDM
1 - 1
ATM
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 1
CDM
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CDM
0 - 3
ALC
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDM
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CDM
1 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATB
1 - 2
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 4
CDT
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
RSO
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SES
3 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |