Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
CD Móstoles vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDM
2 - 3
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SFN
0 - 1
CDM
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 0
GET
27%
27%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 0
CDM
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CDM
1 - 0
ADP
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
PAM
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CDA
4 - 5
PEÑ
6%
14%
80%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
COR
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
PEÑ
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UDM
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |