CD Móstoles vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
7º
32
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
1 - 1
CDM
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CDM
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDM
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
CVI
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 1
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
GET
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CAN
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |