CD Móstoles vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
18º
17º
40
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 64 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 59 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 24 |
17º
|
63.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 3
TAL
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDM
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
MEL
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 3
CDM
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 1
COL
18%
25%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GET
0 - 0
CPC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CPC
3 - 1
NAV
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
CPC
24%
26%
51%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CPC
1 - 3
ATM
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 96 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CPC
2 - 0
ILL
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |