CD Móstoles vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDM
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 2
ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDM
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 0
RMC
18%
24%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ADP
2 - 0
CDM
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ADA
2 - 0
NAV
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
PBO
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SFN
4 - 2
NAV
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
SIE
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |