CD Móstoles vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PNT
0 - 2
CDM
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 0
ATB
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 5
CDM
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 4
ALC
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CVI
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |