CD Móstoles vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
UPL
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDM
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 4
AVI
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAV
2 - 1
CDM
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
TRJ
36%
27%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
FUE
6%
17%
77%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 2
VLO
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |