CD Móstoles U19 vs Valladolid U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
16º
14º
39
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 77 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
96.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
4 - 0
MOS
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 1
BCF
8%
15%
76%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
MOS
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 1
MOS
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
DIO
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Valladolid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VAD
2 - 1
LRZ
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 2
VAD
9%
17%
75%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
OSA
1 - 2
VAD
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 2
RCA
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |