CD Móstoles U19 vs Real Madrid U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
86.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.7%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
14º
16º
16º
10
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 76 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 71 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 53 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 43 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 39 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 20 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 13 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 12 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 73% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 27% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
MOS
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
GET
18%
22%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
MOS
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
MOS
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 0
LRZ
91%
7%
2%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 4
RMA
4%
10%
87%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
RCA
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 6
RMA
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |