CD Mosquito Sub 19 vs Fundación Lucena FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+417%
+648%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
11º
3º
22
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 66 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 63 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 50 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 42 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mosquito Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 3
MOS
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
4 - 2
XER
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
SÉN
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 5
MOS
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 4
SEV
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fundación Lucena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FUN
0 - 4
COR
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SEV
2 - 2
FUN
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FUN
1 - 1
SRL
29%
21%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SRB
2 - 0
FUN
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FUN
3 - 1
COR
28%
22%
50%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +2 |