Morata CD vs Zaragoza 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDC
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
GIN
3 - 0
CDM
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 2
ATC
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDC
29%
25%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LAA
3 - 2
CDM
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
UDC
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 0
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LAA
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GIN
0 - 0
ZAR
80%
14%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 4
CDA
30%
25%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |