Morata CD vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CDC
6 - 2
CDM
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDM
6 - 1
ADR
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CFH
1 - 0
CDM
58%
22%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CDM
1 - 1
CDB
17%
21%
61%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDM
1 - 3
MAL
23%
24%
53%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UDC
3 - 1
MAL
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDQ
2 - 0
UDC
21%
24%
56%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UDC
3 - 1
UDM
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 0
UDC
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UDC
2 - 2
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |