CD Moraleja Futbol vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Moraleja Futbol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 4
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARA
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SHO
6 - 2
MOR
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
TOB
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SSR
3 - 1
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
EFC
1 - 2
SAG
18%
22%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
EFC
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EFC
2 - 1
ADO
61%
21%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 1
EFC
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 0
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |