Monzon vs Atlético Aguilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CER
2 - 2
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
MON
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
7 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
MON
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATA
5 - 1
GUA
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JOP
3 - 1
ATA
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 4
CDV
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
ATA
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |