CD Monte vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
18º
18º
20
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 59 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 29 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 17 |
18º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
3 - 1
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
NAV
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CUL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAM
1 - 2
NAV
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 1
GAM
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 4
BEZ
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
REV
4 - 0
GAM
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |