CD Migjorn vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
14º
18º
15º
1
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 73 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 71 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 66 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 55 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 53 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 37 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 34 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Migjorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MJG
1 - 1
PIN
12%
21%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CFP
4 - 0
MJG
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MJG
0 - 1
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MJG
2 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MJG
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CLL
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLL
1 - 2
SNF
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
CLL
51%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 1
CLL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CLL
4 - 1
SLL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |