CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
2 - 4
HUA
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CSD
0 - 1
CDM
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |