CD Melipilla vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 3
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
CDM
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
USF
0 - 2
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
USF
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DLS
3 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |