CD Melipilla vs Trasandino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
26
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
57% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
EVE
3 - 1
CDM
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 1
EVE
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 3
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
TRA
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
COQ
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
DLS
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DLI
2 - 3
TRA
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |