CD Melipilla vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 1
SWA
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
CDM
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 0
CSL
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
DCO
0 - 1
CDM
58%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
COB
6 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
IQU
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
COQ
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |